Arsenal and Tottenham both face a crucial point in the season when the two bitter rivals meet at the Emirates on Wednesday night.
The two north London derby rivals are both trying to stay afloat amid long injury lists, which have wreaked havoc on their respective plans for this season.
Arsenal have been unable to capitalize on Liverpool’s recent blitz in the Premier League title race thanks to their own slippage in form.
Tottenham, meanwhile, sit 12th in the league table but shocked Liverpool in their last EFL Cup semi-final first leg and will be hoping to use that momentum for a quick turnaround.
How this hotly contested match ends is likely to shape the foreseeable future for both clubs. Either Arsenal get their title race back on track with an emotional victory during a hectic run of difficult fixtures, or Tottenham build their one-game scalp of Liverpool into genuine form.
MORE: Watch Arsenal vs. Tottenham in the USA on Peacock | Watch in the UK on TNT or Discovery+
Arsenal vs. Tottenham prediction, odds
- Moneyline lean: Draw (+425 at BetMGM)
- Score Prediction: Arsenal 2-2 Tottenham
- Best bet: Tottenham +1.5 goals (-135 at BetMGM)
Often in matches with so much narrative at stake, the end result rides the fence and fails to deliver a true victory for either side.
While it is highly likely that Arsenal will take advantage of the many weaknesses still present in Tottenham’s set-up, the money does not exist here at the Gunners. With the odds under 1/2 for an outright Arsenal win, the value instead lies in taking advantage of recent trends.
The Gunners are in the middle of a brutal run of fixtures, averaging a game every 3.1 days over the next month including a North London derby, Premier League meetings with Aston Villa and Man City, the last two Champions League matches and the second leg of their EFL Cup semi-final against Newcastle trailing 2-0 on aggregate. Spurs can very easily take points from a team that is struggling on so many fronts.
| BetMGM (USA) |
|
| Arsenal win | -275 |
| Drag | +425 |
| Tottenham win | +650 |
| Both teams to score goals |
Y: -135 N: -110 |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals |
O: +125 U: -175 |
| Arsenal -1.5 goals |
-110 |
| Tottenham +1.5 goals |
-130 |
Arsenal vs Tottenham match facts
- Date: Wednesday, January 15, 2025
- Kickoff time: 8 p.m. local (3 p.m. ET / 12 p.m. PT)
- Place: Emirates Stadium (London, England)
- Reference: Simon Hooper, WHERE: Peter Bankes.
- Last meeting: Tottenham 0-1 Arsenal (September 15, 2024 | Premier League)
MORE: Latest team news and injury updates ahead of Arsenal v Tottenham
Arsenal vs Tottenham best bet
- Pick: Over 3.5 goals in total
- Odds: +125 (BetMGM)
While the value here isn’t as meaty as you’d like for such a high goal threshold, there’s plenty to suggest that Tottenham can cause enough havoc in this game to result in goals at both ends.
The last time these two teams locked horns in September was just the second time in their last five meetings that they failed to manage a combined four goals. Even then, Tottenham managed to outshoot Arsenal 15-7 while putting five of those efforts on target. Last time they met at the Emirates, Spurs ripped two goals from 13 shots – five of which were on target – and they managed to put four goals in Liverpool’s net in their last EFL Cup encounter.
Arsenal vs. Tottenham blocked
- Pick: Dejan Kulusevski is to be booked
- Odds: +220 (FanDuel)
- Pick: Dominic Solanke to be booked
- Odds: +600 (FanDuel)
This match always features loads of bookings, and while the betting market has finally caught up from an overall perspective and pushed the line to an absurd level (the expected total is somewhere in the neighborhood of six combined bookings), there is still some value in the individual the level.
Whether playing on the wing or deeper in midfield, Dejan Kulusevski has committed the most fouls of any Spurs player this season, with three bookings so far. He was cautioned in the last North London derby this season and the one before that also near the end of last season.
For a long shot, Dominic Solanke has somehow managed not to pick up a single yellow card this season despite committing 27 fouls, the second most of any Spurs player in Premier League games this year. He was penalized for a whopping four fouls in the last meeting between these sides without a caution, and at 6/1 odds he is an excellent choice to finally get his first booking in a game where the cards often fly.
